This is about to be the yr Pep Guardiola and Manchester City finally break the hump within the UEFA Champions League.
That is Guardiola’s seventh season on the helm of the Etihad, and while Cityzens have won 4 Premier League titles in that point, they’ve yet to taste European glory.
In reality, they’ve only been to at least one Champions League final and two semi-finals in the course of the Spaniard’s tenure.
City host RB Leipzig on Tuesday.
Each teams are tied 1-1 on aggregate, so whoever wins this match will advance to the quarter-finals.
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Manchester City vs. Manchester City prediction RB Leipzig
(4 p.m. PT, Paramount+)
As usual, Manchester City leads the Premier League in an almost significant statistical category.
Cityzens have the most effective expected goal difference (xG) at 90 minutes and are ranked first in creating and capping big scoring probabilities.
Everyone knows they’re an elite offensive team, but also they are top-of-the-line defensive units on the earth.
But overlook RB Leipzig at your peril.
Since Die Roten Bullen hired Marco Rose as manager in September, Leipzig appear to be top-of-the-line clubs in Europe.
They will not be at City level, but they don’t seem to be that distant.
RB Leipzig went 12-4-3 (WDL) within the Bundesliga under Rose, only one point ahead of Bayern Munich.
And for those who take a look at the statistical portfolios of each clubs, the difference seems even smaller.
Leipzig have conceded just 20 goals and 19.5 expected goals of their last 19 Bundesliga matches, and their difference of +21.7 x G in this era is essentially at the extent of Bayern.
Bayern Munich can beat Leipzig in talent and experience, however the numbers show that the 2 teams are equal.
Why does it matter if Bayern usually are not involved on this match?
Because if City were to play Bayern Munich on the Etihad in an aggregate tie that was 1-1 after the primary 90 minutes, that lineup would look very different.
City would still be the favourite, however the numbers would not be as broad.
Manchester City are still in a league of their very own, but this RB Leipzig team will not be as far behind the Cityzens as the chances suggest.
Leipzig will not be only a superb bet for promotion, but additionally for getting it +8000 to win the Champions League it is completely price watching.
In the event that they eliminate City, Leipzig’s number will drop completely and the draw will fully open.
Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig within the Champions League
Leipzig advance +490 (FanDuel)