UFC 286 is being streamed live from The O2 Arena in London, England, and boy are we in for a surprise.
Today’s card is filled all around the board, with potential future champions like Muhammad Mokaev, Casey O’Neill and Rafael Fiziev up and down the cardboard.
It’s an enormous card from top to bottom, however it has an early start time.
Early qualifiers will begin at 12:30 p.m. on UFC Fight Pass, while regular qualifiers will begin at 2:00 p.m. ET. on ESPN news.
The major card is survive the PPV from 5pm ET.
In total, now we have about an eight-hour event. Let’s move on to the fights…
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UFC 286 suggestions and predictions
Leon Edwards vs Kamaru Usman prediction
“Pound for pound with a shot to the top; dead!”
Leon “Rocky” Edwards deserves every little bit of love and affection he receives for his incredible fifth-round knockout against Kamaru Usman in his last fight.
But make no mistake, Usman was going to win this fight.
He had -3,000 live within the fifth round before this knockout, and the coaches believed that Edwards was beaten in his own head, resulting in this.
The history is amazing to see it unfold.
Usman is a takedown master and among the best grapplers in the sport.
Perhaps Usman’s body is beginning to fail him, probably wishing he had retired before the Edwards fight.
But he didn’t, and now he has to reclaim his glory.
The “Nightmare from Nigeria” has been unable to run for years attributable to knee problems and there’s concern that his hands are beginning to fade after multiple surgeries.
Years ago, I made study of the trilogy’s fights in mixed martial arts.
Listed here are some data points that I did an information study on.
- The underdogs win fights from the third fight trilogy 19 percent of the time (as of July 2021).
- Fighters who win the second fight win the third fight 76.19% of the time (16-5).
- The third fight of the trilogy ends in a finish 61.2 percent of the time.
Nothing is all the pieces, but all the pieces is something.
We could look back on that fight later and say, ‘Wow, Usman’s body broke,’ identical to McGregor breaking his leg in July 2021.
We could easily say the other; although so there isn’t a bet on the warrior himself.
As a substitute, let’s head to this one to get to the choice.
The primary fight went to a choice, the second fight was two minutes from a choice, and each fighter has a choice rate above 61 percent within the UFC.
The perfect lane for that is on FanDuel at -146, catch this all of the approach to -160.
Rafael Fiziev vs. Justin Gaethje
This one will likely be brutal.
Fiziew is one in every of the cleanest technical strikers within the UFC and has been in comparison with probably the most chaotic fighter within the organization.
Gaethje is a fighter who will eat one shot to present his own.
And he believes you will not give you the chance to take his shot, but he hasn’t been excellent at it these days.
Gatehje have lost two of their last three matches, albeit against top division rivals.
I have been targeting Fiziev for months as one in every of the highest contenders within the division with the potential to be a future champion.
This train doesn’t stop here.
In reality, this may very well be an exhibition fight for him as Gaethje doesn’t offer enough punches to consistently hurt Fiziev and doesn’t have probably the most power.
Back Fizeiev to win by KO/TKO at +160 at BetRivers.
Muhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel Filho
UFC flyweight rising star Muhammad Mokaev will tackle Jafel Filho.
Filho is certainly not a foul fighter, but fighting a submission ace like Mokaev won’t ever make you look good.
Filho comes off Dan White’s Contender Series with a shaky win that secured him a contract.
My problem is that Filho is grappler himself, but this game has levels.
He’ll probably learn early and infrequently that Mokaev is a significantly better grappler.
Search for Mokayev to run past his opponent in an “all right” matchup on Saturday night.
Muhammad Mokaev wins in round 1 or 2 +110 on BetMGM is the official game, but be happy to get a prop under 2.5 rounds for Mokaev.
UFC 286 parlays and picks
Let’s close the UFC 286 betting tab.
- Usman/Edwards Goes To Decision -146 (FanDuel)
- Fiziew wins by KO/TKO +160 (BetRivers)
- Mokaev wins round 1 or 2 +110 (BetMGM)
Todorvic wins by KO/TKO round 2 or 3 + Amirkhani wins via submission round 1 +1600 + Vettori by decision -125
This extremely long game has a rate of 366/1 if the celebs align.
Good luck and bet responsibly at UFC 286!