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Moderna on Monday said its Covid vaccine sales plunged by about two-thirds in 2023 to $6.7 billion, as fewer people rolled up their sleeves for an updated version of the jab.
The revenue from the shots met Moderna’s forecast for the 12 months, whilst sales plummeted from the greater than $18 billion the company booked in 2022.
Moderna’s announcement, which got here ahead of its presentation on the annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, shows the steep drop in demand for Covid products last 12 months as cases and public concern in regards to the virus dwindled from their pandemic peaks. Weakening demand for the company’s shot, its only commercially available product, led shares of Moderna to fall nearly 45% last 12 months.
Roughly $6.1 billion of Moderna’s revenue related to the shot got here from sales of the vaccine. One other $600 million was deferred revenue related to the company’s work with Gavi, a nongovernmental global vaccine organization that coordinated a worldwide shot distribution program, Moderna said in a release.
Moderna, during its third-quarter earnings report in November, forecast no less than $6 billion in full-year Covid vaccine sales, but didn’t provide a spread for that guidance. Notably, that forecast didn’t include contributions from Gavi, Moderna CFO Jamey Mock told CNBC during an interview.
In August, before the rollout of its latest version of the jab, the company said it expected the shot to rake in between $6 billion and $8 billion in revenue.
The company noted that the vaccine won 48% of the U.S. Covid vaccine market share last 12 months. That is up from the 37% promote it captured in 2022.
The dimensions of the U.S. marketplace for Covid shots in 2023 is probably going around 40 million and 60 million doses in the course of the fall and winter season, which is consistent with what the nation saw in 2022, based on Mock.
However the biotech company expects sales from the shot to drop even further in 2024. It reiterated its companywide full-year sales guidance of roughly $4 billion on Monday. Notably, that forecast includes revenue from its vaccine against respiratory syncytial virus, or RSV, which could win U.S. Food and Drug Administration approval in April.
Moderna said it expects to return to sales growth in 2025 with the launch of latest products. The company currently has 45 products in development, nine of that are in late-stage trials. They include Moderna’s combination shot targeting Covid and the flu, which could win approval as early as 2025.
Mock said combination vaccines must be “very helpful” in terms of providing more convenience to patients and health-care providers and reducing the prices of products sold, amongst other aspects, which may need a positive impact on Covid vaccination rates overall.
The company said it expects to “break even” by 2026.
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